As the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 in Basel approaches, excitement is building, and fans are buzzing about the latest betting odds. Sweden, Austria and France are leading the current betting odds to win the competition come May.

Who will win the forthcoming Eurovision Song Contest 2025 in Basel? Let’s have a look at how the betting odds are looking today, with circa 9 weeks left for the ESC 2025 Grand Final.  According to Eurovisionworld.com, the current standings reveal some intriguing shifts among the top contenders.

Leading the pack is Sweden, with KAJ’s catchy tune “Bara bada bastu” capturing the hearts of many. Bookmakers have given Sweden a 25% chance of clinching the title, making them the frontrunner in this year’s competition.

Hot on Sweden’s heels is Austria, represented by JJ with the song “Wasted Love.” This entry has resonated with audiences, earning Austria a 15% chance of winning.

France sits comfortably in third place, with Louane‘s potential Eurovision 2025 entry generating significant buzz. Despite the song’s official release scheduled for tonight, anticipation alone has secured France a 12% chance of victory.

Israel has experienced a slight dip, now in fourth place with a 10% chance of winning. Yuval Raphael’s “New Day Will Rise” continues to inspire, but faces stiff competition this year.

The Netherlands rounds out the top five, with Claude‘s C’est la vie charming listeners and securing an 6% chance of success.

Finland’s Erika Vilman holds the sixth spot with “Ich Komme,” boasting a 4% chance of winning. Her unique blend of traditional and modern sounds has captivated many.

In seventh place, Estonia’s Tommy Cash with “Espresso Macchiato” has a 3% chance, followed by Belgium’s Red Sebastian with ‘Strobe Lights’ at 2%.

Ukraine’s Ziferblat  sits in ninth place with a 2% chance, while Malta’s Miriana Conte has re-entered the top ten with ,Serving” holding a 2% chance of winning.

Here’s a snapshot of the current top 10 countries and their winning probabilities:

Rank Country Artist Song Winning Chance
1 Sweden KAJ “Bara bada bastu” 25%
2 Austria JJ “Wasted Love” 15%
3 France Louane TBC 12%
4 Israel Yuval Raphael “New Day Will Rise” 10%
5 Netherlands Claude “C’est La Vie” 6%
6 Finland Erika Vilman “Ich Komme” 4%
7 Estonia Tommy Cassh “Espresso Machiato” 3%
8 Belgium Red Sesbastian “Strobe Lights’ 2%
9 Ukraine Zeferblat “Bird of Pray” 2%
10 Malta Zoë Më “Serving” 2%

With 36 out of 37 songs already released, all eyes are on France as it unveils its Eurovision entry tonight. This premiere could potentially shake up the current rankings, adding more excitement to the lead-up to the contest.

The 2025 Eurovision Song Contest will be held in Basel, Switzerland, promising a spectacular showcase of musical talent from across Europe. As the event draws nearer, fans and bookmakers alike will be watching closely to see how these odds evolve.

Remember, while betting odds provide insight into current favorites, the Eurovision stage has always been full of surprises. So, keep your eyes and ears open, as anything can happen when the performances begin!

Source: eurovisionworld.com /ESCToday
Photo credit: France Televisions


Sanjay (Sergio) joined esctoday.com in December 2006 as an editor. He was appointed as the Head of Press of ESCToday.com in 2011. Hereafter in 2016 he was promoted as the Head of International Relations & Communications at ESCToday. Sergio has covered the Eurovision Song Contest live 22 times since 2000, having worked for several international magazines and media outlets.