Odds Monitor: Cyprus catches fire in the top four

by Richard West-Soley 15,675 views

Cyprus catches fire today, as “Fuego” powers past France and Czech Republic to seize fourth favourite position in the odds to win this year’s contest.
On odds as short as 9/1 (Marathon Bet), Cypriot hopeful Eleni is riding high. She occupies the spot France managed to hold on to for a couple of days; now, French hopes drift a little into sixth position behind Czech entrant Mikolas’ stubborn fifth.

Entrenched top three

Cyprus in ascendence provides all of the fireworks the top of the table today, beneath an entrenched top three. As ever, Israel remains a good way in lead. Right behind Netta, Norway and Estonia look almost inseparable in second and third position respectively.
Further down, Italy’s second rehearsal seems to have consolidated a strong ninth place. Ermal and Fabrizio look well settled behind former top-three Bulgaria and a Sweden stuck on eighth. And Moldova is back in the top ten, just, after its lucky day of rehearsals yesterday.
Tonight, the full top ten across win markets is as follows:
  1. Israel
  2. Norway
  3. Estonia
  4. Cyprus
  5. Czech Republic
  6. France
  7. Bulgaria
  8. Sweden
  9. Italy
  10. Moldova

Semifinal one qualification odds

Cyprus is clearly attracting a lot of attention in these markets, mirroring the odds to win. Eleni is back into second most likely qualifier behind Israel. At the other end, Belgium is looking a lot less secure, slipping two places down to a dangerous tenth. Exactly the opposite happens for Lithuania, looking a little more likely as a finalist tonight.
  1. Israel
  2. Cyprus
  3. Estonia
  4. Czech Republic
  5. Bulgaria
  6. Greece
  7. Austria
  8. Lithuania
  9. Armenia
  10. Belgium

Semifinal two qualification odds

Australia slips slightly behind Moldova into the fifth safest qualification position in the odds. This continues a disappointing slide for antipodean hopes, after “We Got Love” started off a strong favourite before rehearsals. Australia currently sits at 13th favourite to win, after spending some time in the top five.
Netherlands slips down slightly into eighth, while Poland and Denmark bubble up slightly. Latvia stubbornly refuses to let Russia into the top ten, holding “I Won’t Break” off in eleventh.
  1. Norway
  2. Sweden
  3. Ukraine
  4. Moldova
  5. Australia
  6. Poland
  7. Denmark
  8. Netherlands
  9. Hungary
  10. Latvia
Today concludes the individual country rehearsal. Tomorrow, the full dress rehearsals for semifinal one begin. With Eurovision week finally upon us, can anything shake the top three? With four of the top five set to perform in tomorrow’s rehearsals and Tuesday’s live show, will a new leader emerge from them?