Eurovision Results analysis: What if…?

by Marcus Klier 44 views

As always after the Eurovision Song Contest, we take a look at the results from a statistical point of view. The analysis is split into four parts and the third part is dedicated to the theoretical question what would have happened if the voting had been done in a different way.

This would have been the results with only the countries in the final voting:

  1. Germany – 122
  2. Romania – 119
  3. Greece – 112
  4. Turkey – 107
  5. Azerbaijan – 106
  6. Armenia – 106
  7. Georgia – 86
  8. Ukraine – 78
  9. Belgium – 78
  10. Denmark – 76
  11. France – 64
  12. Russia – 61
  13. Spain – 44
  14. Israel – 37
  15. Albania – 35
  16. Portugal – 31
  17. Serbia – 31
  18. Bosnia & Herzegovina – 31
  19. Moldova – 27
  20. Iceland – 26
  21. Norway – 18
  22. Belarus – 17
  23. Ireland – 15
  24. Cyprus – 13
  25. UK – 10

Unlike last year, there would have been some remarkable difference if only the cuntries competing in the final had voted. Although Germany would still have won, Romania would have followed in second place with only three points left. The country that would have gained the most places is Greece reaching third place (8th in the final). Furthermore, only 16 points would have divided the first and the sixth place making it an even more exciting race. At the bottom, the results would have been closer to the actual outcome with the UK still finishing last.

The full jury votes are yet to be published.

Stay tuned for the last part of our results analysis. The parts are:

  1. Numbers and statistics in the final
  2. Numbers and statistics in the semi final
  3. What if…?
  4. Voting blocs, friendly neighbours & diasporas

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