With forty six days to go for the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 in Basel, Switzerland the betting odds are predicting an 8th victory for Sweden, with Austria and France hot on its heels to clinch the ESC Grand Prix. Sweden has been topping the betting odds for quite some weeks already. Let’s have a look how the TOP 10 of the ESC 2025 betting odds looks like this week!
As the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 in Basel, Switzerland, approaches, fans and bookmakers alike are abuzz with predictions. According to the latest betting odds from eurovisionworld.com, Sweden is leading the pack with a 25% chance of securing the coveted Grand Prix. Their entry, “Bara bada bastu” by the charismatic trio KAJ, has captured the imagination of audiences across Europe.
Hot on Sweden’s heels is Austria, represented by JJ with the heartfelt ballad “Wasted Love.” Austria’s odds have seen a significant surge, now standing at 22%, reflecting the song’s growing popularity and emotional resonance.
France holds the third spot with Louane’s “Maman,” a touching tribute that has garnered a 12% chance of victory. Israel follows closely in fourth place with Yuval Raphael’s inspiring “New Day Will Rise,” maintaining a strong 7% probability of winning.
The Netherlands rounds out the top five, with Claude‘s “C’est La Vie” blending traditional sounds with modern beats, earning a 5% chance of success. Finland’s Erika Vikman secures the sixth position with “Ich Komme,” holding a 4% chance, while Estonia’s Tommy Cash follows with “Espresso Macchiato” at 3%.
Belgium’s dynamic performance of “Strobe Lights” by Red Sebastian has 3% probability closely behind Estonia. Albania’s recent surge into the top ten is marked by Shkodre Elektronike’s “Zjerm,” also holding a 2% winning probability has placed the country #9 in the Top 10 of the current betting odds.
Here’s a snapshot of the current top 10 countries and their winning probabilities:
| Rank | Country | Artist | Song | Winning Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | KAJ | “Bara bada bastu” | 25% |
| 2 | Austria | JJ | “Wasted Love” | 22% |
| 3 | France | Louane | “Maman” | 12% |
| 4 | Israel | Yuval Raphael | “New Day Will Rise” | 7% |
| 5 | Netherlands | Claude | “C’est La Vie” | 5% |
| 6 | Finland | Erika Vikman | “Ich Komme” | 4% |
| 7 | Estonia | Tommy Cash | “Espresso Macchiato” | 3% |
| 8 | Belgium | Red Sebastian | “Strobe Lights” | 3% |
| 9 | Albania | Shkodre Elktronike | “Zjerm” | 2% |
| 10 | Ukraine | Shkodre Elektronike | “Zjerm” | 2% |
As the competition heats up, the question on everyone’s mind is: Can Sweden clinch a record-breaking eighth Eurovision victory in Basel? With their strong track record and KAJ‘s captivating performance, the odds are in their favor. However, with Austria’s rapid ascent and other countries eager to make their mark, the outcome remains thrillingly uncertain.
Sweden has established itself as one of the biggest powerhouses at the Eurovision Song Contest having won the competition a total of 7 times, thus equalling with Ireland who was the sole holder of the record. The Swedes have earned great fame, name and recognition thanks to their successful results in the competition in the last 25 years with three victories and placing in the Top 1o at Grand Final 19 times.
The 2025 Eurovision Song Contest promises to be a spectacular showcase of musical talent and cultural diversity. As fans eagerly await the performances, the betting odds offer a glimpse into the potential frontrunners, but as history has shown, Eurovision is always full of surprises.
So, whether you’re placing bets or simply enjoying the show, keep your eyes and ears open—anything can happen on the Eurovision stage!
The 2025 Eurovision Song Contest is scheduled to be held on 13, 15 and 17 May at the St. Jakobshalle in Basel, Switzerland.
Source: eurovisionworld.com /ESCToday
Photo credit: SVT/ Stina Sjernkvist
