Bookies’ Roundup: Qualifier odds ahead of semifinal 1

by Richard West-Soley 6,615 views

With just a few hours to go before the first semifinal is concluded and ten songs proceed to the final, we take a last look at the bookies’ odds as tonight’s countries prepare.

Amongst the bookmakers offering odds on countries to make the final, the standing is as follows:

  1. Armenia
  2. Portugal
  3. Sweden
  4. Azerbaijan
  5. Greece
  6. Finland
  7. Moldova
  8. Australia
  9. Belgium
  10. Cyprus
  11. Poland
  12. Latvia
  13. Georgia
  14. Slovenia
  15. Iceland
  16. Albania
  17. Montenegro
  18. Czech Republic

Looking only at the current odds to win the whole contest, tonight’s countries are ranked somewhat differently:

  1. Portugal
  2. Sweden
  3. Armenia
  4. Azerbaijan
  5. Finland
  6. Australia
  7. Belgium
  8. Greece
  9. Moldova
  10. Poland
  11. Georgia
  12. Cyprus
  13. Iceland
  14. Montenegro
  15. Latvia
  16. Albania
  17. Czech Republic
  18. Slovenia

Combining the tables gives the impression of a Cyprus-Poland tussle for that last final place.

Can the bookies do it again?

Last year, the bookies collectively predicted nine out of ten of the first semifinal qualifiers. Surprises are, as with every Eurovision Song Contest, expected. Iceland enjoyed a spot high in last year’s qualifier favourites until its shock ejection. Conversely, the Netherlands were not amongst the dead certs before the first semifinal of 2014, but went on to land silver in the grand final.

The only certainty is this: when the qualifiers are revealed this evening, we will have the first indicators of how accurate the bookmakers’ favourites are for 2017.