The ESCToday National Chart is a chart that predicts who is going to win a national selection based on various reactions and rankings, before the selection kicks off. As Supernova 2016 will kick off tomorrow, it is time to see who has the best chances to win among the participating songs.

HOW DOES IT WORK?

• YouTube Ranks (30%) – Based on the various ‘my personal top’ recaps that are uploaded to YouTube. The act with the highest average ranking gets 30 points, second gets 29 points, all the way to the 30th place who gets one point
• YouTube Views (30%) – Based on the popularity of the songs and artists based on the view count of the official videos or the video with the highest amount of views in case there is no official video. The act with the highest amount of views gets 30 points, second gets 29 points, all the way to the 30th place who gets one point
• ESCToday’s Poll (30%) – Based on our readers’ and followers’ opinions who voted in the poll we have launched earlier this week. In case of a tie, all songs with the same amount of votes get the average amount of points (for example three songs sharing the 1st, 2nd and 3rd places will get 29 points each)
• ESCToday’s Team Opinion (10%) – Based on the team’s opinions regarding each entry and its chances to win the national selection

THE RESULTS

		Ranks	Views	Poll	Team	TOTAL
1	Justs – Heartbeat	30	28	30	10	98
2	Markus Riva – I can	28	25	28	6	87
3	Ivo Grīsniņš Grīslis – We are the light	25	18	24	8	75
4	Samanta Tīna – We live for love	26	15	22	5	68
5	Dvines – Set it on fire	7	26	25	5	63
6	Rūta Dūduma – Being a friend	18	30	4	8	60
7	Marta Grigale – Choices	15	24	15	4	58
8	MyRadiantU – We will be stars	24	8	15	10	57
9	Miks Dukurs – Paradise	16	16	15	4	51
10	ElectroFolk – Miracle drums	8	7	26	9	50
11	Edvards Grieze – New day	20	5	15	7	47
12	Sabīne Berezina – My inspiration	12	20	4	7	43
13	Catalepsia – Damnation	6	14	15	6	41
14	Paula Dukure – Look in the mirror	10	12	8	9	39
15	Samanta Tīna – The love is forever	14	2	15	2	33
16	Madara Grēgere – You and I	4	22	4	2	32
17	Marta Ritova – Not from this world	22	4	4	1	31
18	Crow Mother – Demons	1	1	15	4	21
19	Iluta Alsberga – On hold	2	10	4	4	20
20	Mārtiņš Ruskis – Still holding stars	5	6	4	1	16

ANALYSIS

• Justs is the runaway winner of the chart with 98 points, with a song written by Latvia’s last year’s representative Aminata Savadogo.
• The chart is topped also by other previous Latvian national selection participants – Markus Riva who ended second in last year’s Supernova, Ivo Grīsniņš Grīslis that took part in Eirodziesma 2009, 2010 and 2014 and Samanta Tīna who finished second and third in Eirodziesma 2014 and 2015.
• ElektroFolk who managed to go to the final of Supernova last year are placed only 10th in the chart.

Justs – Heartbeat: Winner of Latvia’s ESCToday National Chart

Stay tuned to ESCToday.com for more news regarding Supernova and Latvia in the Eurovision Song Contest 2016