Douze points & the crystal ball

by John Egan 83 views

Are some countries better than others in giving their douze points to the eventual winner? We have the answer!

Getting the most douze (12) points does not mean winning the Eurovision Song Contest: getting the most points overall does. The current douze points system, in place since 1975, is designed to favour entries that are ranked first or second by each voting country over scores ranked lower. Instead of assigning values of 1 through 10, the Contest changes the last two to 10 (instead of 8) and 12 (instead of 10). It�s what�s known as a Borda count, which is designed to skew results in favour of the more popular entries�and to avoid ties.

Of course we had a tie under douze points, in 1991 when France�s Amina (La dernier qui a parlé) and Sweden�s Carola (Fångad av en stormvind ) each ended up with 146 points overall. Carola won on the count back: both France and Sweden had 4 douze points, but Sweden earned more dix points(5) than France (2). We�ve also had a number of very tight Contests, including one (1988), two (2003), and four point (1981) victories. In 2003, there were only three points separating the top 3 songs�the tightest finish since 1975!

But are there any voting trends that can help us predict who will win? More specifically are some countries better at picking a winner � by awarding them 12, or perhaps 10, points � than others?

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