esctoday.com TOP TEN: Those that didn't make it

by Marcus Klier 69 views

The fourth esctoday.com TOP TEN list was presented this week. Now we will provide a complete overview and we will show you the full ranking including the countries that did not make the list. Furthermore, next week's topic will be revealed.

This is the full top ten:

  1. Latvia (2000)
    …finishing third among 24 contestants being the only debutant
  2. Poland (1994)
    …finishing second among 25 contestants being one of seven debutants
  3. Moldova (2005)
    …finishing sixth among 39 contestants being one of two debutants
  4. Armenia (2006)
    …finishing eight among 37 contestants being the only debutant
  5. Israel (1973)
    …finishing fourth among 17 contestants being the only debutant
  6. Azerbaijan (2008)
    …finishing eighth among 43 contestants being one of two debutants
  7. Norway (1960)
    …finishing fourth among 13 contestants being the only debutant
  8. Cyprus (1981)
    …finishing sixth among 20 contestants being the only debutant
  9. Ireland (1965)
    …finishing sixth among 18 contestnats being the only debutant
  10. Hungary (1994)
    …finishing fourth among 25 contestants being one of seven debutants

This is the formula which the ranking was based on:

x = placing, y = number of competing countries, z = number of debuting countries

The formula is created in a way that each country received a score between 0 and 1. The lower the scoring is, the more impressive the debut was. The formula consists of two main terms:

  • The first term tells the probability of any country reaching the top x that year.
  • The second term tells the probability of at least one debuting country reaching the top x. If a country finished in the bottom z, the value of the second term is one (i.e. if ten countries competed and three of them had their debut, the probability of at least one of them reaching the top eight is 100%).

The score "1" marks the worst possible debut: It means a country finished (unshared) last.

Below, you can see the full ranking with all debuting countries excluding the first contest of 1956. Those countries that were eliminated in a semi final on their debut are shown in italics. Their score can not really be compared to the one of the other countries as some are always directly qualified for the final. Therefore the scores of those countries are only supposed to show a tendency. If a country had already competed as part of a different country in earlier years, the average score of their debuts was taken into account. If two countries achieved the same score, the country that placed higher in the contest also placed higher on the list.

  1. Latvia (2000) – 0.02
  2. Poland (1994) – 0.04
  3. Moldova (2005) – 0.04
  4. Armenia (2006) – 0.05
  5. Israel (1973) – 0.06
  6. Azerbaijan (2008) – 0.06
  7. Norway (1960) – 0.09
  8. Cyprus – (1981) – 0.09
  9. Ireland (1965) – 0.11
  10. Hungary (1994) – 0.12
  11. Albania (2004) – 0.12
  12. Sweden (1958) – 0.16
  13. Denmark (1957) – 0.21
  14. Serbia – 0.22
    This is the average score of 1974 (0.65), 2004 (0.01) and 2007 (0.00)
  15. Georgia (2007) – 0.22
  16. Ukraine (2003) – 0.29
  17. Montenegro – 0.45
    This is the average score of 1983 (0.04), 2005 (0.08) and 2007 (0.86)
  18. Russia (1994) – 0.35
  19. Greece (1974) – 0.42
  20. Croatia – 0.52
    This is the average score of 1963 (0.47) and 1993 (0.57)
  21. Spain (1961) – 0.53
  22. FYR Macedonia (1998) – 0.58
  23. Finland (1961) – 0.60
  24. Iceland (1986) – 0.64
  25. Portugal (1964) – 0.66
  26. Slovenia – 0.68
    This is the average score of 1961 (0.48) and 1993 (0.88)
  27. United Kingdom (1957) – 0.69
  28. Bosnia & Herzegovina – 0.70
    This is the average score of 1964 (0.79) and 1993 (0.62)
  29. Slovakia (1994) – 0.76
  30. Bulgaria (2005) – 0.83
  31. Romania (1994) – 0.84
  32. Andorra (2004) – 0.89
  33. Morocco (1980) – 0.90
  34. Belarus (2004) – 0.92
  35. Estonia (1994) – 0.96
  36. Asutria (1957) – 1.00
    Czech Republic (2007) – 1.00
    Lithuania (1994) – 1.00
    Malta (1971) – 1.00
    Monaco (1959) – 1.00
    San Marino (2008) – 1.00
    Turkey (1975) – 1.00

This concludes out fourth topten list and now it is time to reveal next week's topic. It will be:

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