Results analysis: Numbers and statistics in the final

by Marcus Klier 109 views

As always after the Eurovision Song Contest, we take a look at the results from a statistical point of view. The analysis is split into four parts and the first part is dedicated to the numbers and records in the final.

The winner

Norway won the Eurovision Song Contest for the third time following victories in 1985 and 1995 and is therefore along with Israel one of two countries that have won three times exactly. For the first time it happened that the contest was won by a male soloist two years in a row as Dima Bilan had brought the trophy to Russia in 2008. Alexander Rybak got 387 points, which is a record number, and 16 times 12 points, ten times 10 points and ten times 8 points. The winning song got points from all other countries, which has not happened since 1997 and the lowest mark were two points from Bulgaria. For the first time since 2000, the winning country was leading throughout the whole voting. Norway got an average of 9.4 points from every other country which is almost a record but still behind the United Kingdom's average score of 9.6 points in 1976.

Best results

Azerbaijan has achieved its best result ever finishing third. However, it was only the second time the country took part. More impressively, Iceland managed to equal its best result, the second place of 1999. However, of course, Yohanna achieved the highest amount of points for Iceland ever. France and the United Kingdom both achieved their best results since 2002 and they also break a curse as no big four country has been in the top ten since 2004 (curiously enough, in 2004 the other two big four countries Spain and Germany were in the top ten). Having reached the final for the first time since the introduction of the semi final stage, Estonia also managed to achieve its best result by a mile since 2002. With a larger gap Denmark achieved its best result since 2005.

Worst results

Having been saved by the jury in the first semi final, Finland achieved its lowest placing in a Eurovision Song Contest final ever finishing 25th and last. It is the first last place for Finland since 1996 and ninth last place overall. Armenia is the seocnd country that achieved its worst place ever despite finishing tenth in during its fourth participation. Albania achieved its lowest palcing in a final ever and even in every Eurovision show including semi finals equalling the 17th place of the 2007 semi final. Spain was near the bottom many times in recent years but the second last place in this year's final is still the lowest placing since 1999, when Spain finished last.Lithuania's 23rd place is the lowest result ina Eurovision final since 2002, but it has to be mentioned that the country was eliminated during the semi finals various times. Ukraine has not been in the top ten for the first time since 2005 and the same accounts for Russia. However, Russia has also not been in the top three for the first time in four years. Sweden achieved its worst result since 1992, when Christer Björkman finished 22nd on homeground.

12 points

The following countries got 12 points tonight:

  1. Norway – 16 times
  2. Turkey – 6 times
  3. Iceland – 3 times
    Bosnia & Herzegovina – 3 times
    Greece – 3 times
  4. Estonia – twice
    Moldova – twice
  5. Armenia- once
    Spain – once
    United Kingdom- once
    Croatia – once
    Azerbaijan – once
    Romania – once
    Russia – once

14 of the 25 competing countries got at least one set of points. Behind Norway, Turkey got the second highest amount of top marks despite finishing fourth after Iceland and Azerbaijan, who only got three and one set respectively. The lowest placed entry that got 12 points is the Spanish one reaching 24th place. This is also a record as the lowest placing ever for a country that got 12 points at least oncebehind Germany in 2008, who finished equal 23rddespite getting 12 points from Bulgaria.

The running order

Songs later in the running order did not seem to have an advantage in the final. Only four of the entries that reached the top ten were performed in the second half of the show. Furthermore, the songs performed second last and last finished last and second last respectively.

Stay tuned for the upcoming parts of our results analysis. The parts are:

  1. Numbers and statistics in the final
  2. Numbers and statistics in the semi final
  3. What if…?
  4. Voting blocs, friendly neighbours & diasporas

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