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Political, neighbourly or Diaspora Voting?
1980S, SCANDINAVIA, GREECE, CYPRUS AND NEIGHBOURLY VOTING?
Many people now see the competition as several groups of neighbouring countries pooled together to vote for one another. In the 1980s, fingers were pointed at the Scandinavians, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland and since 1986, Iceland. At the time, this was the 'largest' block in the competition, however in the 1980s, only Sweden (1984) and Norway (1985) won the contest. During the same decade, Finland twice finished last (1980, 1982), the second time with 'nul points'. Norway finished last in 1981 and Iceland did the same in 1989.
Of course, it would be wrong to discuss neighbourly voting without mentioning the topic that brings United Kingdom commentator, Terry Wogan to his knees every year. The only thing as predictable as hearing Te Deum at the beginning of a Eurovision Song Contest broadcast, is hearing the Greek result 'Cyprus 12 points' and a reciprocating 'Greece 12 points' from Cyprus.
1990S: FORMER YUGOSLAVIA AND THE FORMER SOVIET STATES
Then the division of Yugoslavia and Balkan wars happened, and suddenly Bosnia Herzegovina, Croatia, Slovenia, FYR Macedonia, Serbia Montenegro (which are now independent countries and highly likely to compete individually in 2007) seem to be the closest of allies at the Eurovision Song Contest. Many see Greece and Albania as part of the new Balkan Block. The shared votes have yet to produce a winner - except for an argument that the block includes close neighbour Greece, in which case, the votes helped Helena Paparizou to victory in 2005.
2000S: THE FORMER SOVIET SUCCESS STORY:
The 2000s brought a flood from the East to the Eurovision Song Contest. The arrival of the Baltic trio of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, each tending to vote closely for one another. Russia joined the Eurovision Song Contest, inviting votes from the Baltic states, and then enjoying the arrival of Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus and last year, Armenia. They may also be joined in 2007 by Georgia and Azerbaijan. Estonia and Latvia (2001 and 2002) have both won the competition, and were joined by Ukraine in 2005, in only their second participation at the competition. This group has so far proved to be the most successful of the so-called neighbourly blocks.
THE MOVE TO DIASPORA VOTING
Simply looking at the neighbourly or political voting does not tell the full story. In the age of the European Union, borders are open and many communities have spread around the continent. Armenia won votes from only 17 countries in their debut year, yet they finished higher than countries such as Greece and Ireland who received votes from 22 and 23 countries respectively. Armenia received the maximum 12 points from neighbours Russia, but also scored high marks from Belgium (12), France, Netherlands, Greece (10), Israel and Spain (8), where there are exceptionally large Armenian populations.
This has led to the growth in talk of 'diaspora voting', it refers to the tendancy for large immigrant populations throughout Europe voting for their homeland. Turkey and Armenia are prime examples of countries that benefit from Diaspora voting. Germany awarded Turkey 44 out of a maximum 48 points in the last four years, with 12 points in 2004 and 2006, and 10 points in 2003 and 2005. Germany has an exceptionally large Turkish population which makes the likelihood of Germany awarding top marks to their homeland as likely as a top-mark exchange between Greece and Cyprus. Belgium and the Netherlands have also been awarding high marks to Turkey in recent years, as they see a steady rise in their Turkish immigrant population.
Israel, who finished in 4th place in 2005, scored only 4 points in 2006, all of which came from France, where there is a Jewish population of approximately 1million, far and away the largest jewish population in Europe after Israel. Without this population, would Israel have received the dreaded 'nul points' for the first time in 2006?
HAVE YOUR SAY
Do you think that neighbourly, political or diaspora voting has been increasing in recent years?
What can be done to reduce the effect of this voting in order to increase the fairness of the competition?
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Well... this year there are going to be more nighbour/diaspora votes... Andorra will give 12 points to Spain. Greece and Cyprus 12 eachother (if Cyprus qualifies to the Final). Germany, France, the Netherlands and Belgium... high points to Armenia and Turkey, and the same with Spain to Romania and Portugal to Ukraine. Tha balkan block is now more active than ever, with the independence of Serbia and Montenegro and the entrance of Bulgaria. This block will be the biggest: Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Bulgaria, Albania, FYR Macedonia, Greece and Montenegro. Also 12 reciproc votes from Romania to Moldova. Russia will be very graced with the votes from the Baltic republics, Belarus, Moldova, Serbia, Ukraine, Armenia and, this year, Georgia. I supose that Georgia and Armenia will change points between them too. Another possible case of neighbouring voting can be Poland - Czech Republic or Austria - Czech Republic. About the north... Alliance between Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Finland, and possibly Estonia and Latvia too. Also the combinations Belarus - Poland, Belarus - Ukraine, Poland - Ukraine, etcetera.
It's true that neighbouring and diaspora voting doesn't affect directly the winner (Finland last year, for example), but it can repercute a lot in the countries of the Semifinal: western Europe will remain there.
The problem is that because of neighbouring, one country can vote ONLY to their neighbours, for example...
Example of an hipothetic votation from Serbia.
12 p to Greece
10 p to Bosnia-Herzegovina
8 p to FYR Macedonia
7 p to Slovenia
6 p to Montenegro
7 p to Croatia
6 p to Bulgaria
5 p to Hungary (hungarian minority in Vojvodina)
4 p to Romania
3 p to Russia (sympathy between the two countries)
2 p Albania
There will be just 1 point free!!
Do you know what would stop most of this diaspora, neighbour and block voting? Hm? Its so obvious and it must be done NOW in order to bring fairness back into the competition or else the voting will go the exact same way every year and the competition would become so dull and boring that no - one would watch it as they will know which country will give which country the high points. I was able to predict who would get high votes from who in 2006 and you know what? I WAS RIGHT EVERY SINGLE TIME.
The only way to stop this diaspora voting is:
BRING BACK THE JURY VOTING! And let only the jurors vote, not 50 jurors/ 50 televote
100% JURORS!
Oh and if there is anyone from the EBU reading this then take note of this next point.
Make sure the results of the votes are NEVER AGAIN shown the way they were in 2006! The voting is supposed to be the most interesting part of the Eurovision and the EBU killed that in 2006 by only letting the speakers giving the results give the highest 3 results and the rest appearing on screen automatically! That destroyed last years competition I think everyone will agree because EVERYONES favourite parts of the Eurovision is when their country's song is performed and then the results.
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